Abavukuzi besihlabathi sikawoyela base-Alberta bakhiqize irekhodi elingu-1.6 million bbl/ngosuku lwebitumen ngo-2022, okuphindwe kabili isilinganiso sika-2009. Ukukhula komkhiqizo kufinyelele ku-10% ngonyaka kule minyaka engamashumi amabili edlule, nakuba iminyaka embalwa edlule ibiguquguquka kakhulu ngenxa yokushoda. yendawo yamapayipi, imiyalo yokunciphisa kanye nobhubhane lwe-COVID-19.
Kodwa liyini ikusasa lezimayini zesihlabathi sikawoyela?Ngokungafani nezindawo ze-in-situ, izimayini ezintsha zidinga ukugunyazwa kukahulumeni, okungaba inqubo ende futhi engaqinisekile.Ngokuhambisana ne-carbon cap ezayo kanye ne-net-zero aspirations ngo-2050, mancane amathuba okuthi noma imaphi amaphrojekthi amasha azothunyelwa ukuze agunyazwe yinhlangano noma nini maduze.
Kodwa-ke, akubona bonke abalahlekile, njengoba kunemiklamo eminingi yokwandisa kanye ne-debottlenecking esenayo kakade imvume.
AMAPROJEKTHI OKUSHINTSHWA AMAyini
Izimayini eziningi ezikhona zizoqedwa eminyakeni embalwa ezayo.Kokubili i-Horizon kanye ne-Mildred Lake's North Mine zihlelelwe ukuthi ziqale ukuqeda ukusebenza ngokushesha, futhi zombili zigunyaze izinhlelo zokushintsha imayini kakade seziyasebenza.
I-Horizon izosusa imisebenzi yezimayini iye e-Horizon South, eyayaziwa ngokuthi i-Joslyn North pit, kanti i-Mildred Lake izothuthela e-Mildred Lake Extension West (MLX-W) eminyakeni embalwa ezayo.Zombili ziwukuthuthwa kwemishini yezimayini, futhi ngeke zifake noma yiziphi izimboni ezintsha zokucubungula.
Imayini elandelayo ezoqedwa yi-Suncor's Base Plant, esele cishe iminyaka eyi-10 yempilo yami.I-Base Mine Extension (BMX) ayinazo izimvume ezikhona, futhi i-Suncor isanda kulibazisa izinhlelo zokuhambisa isicelo sayo sokulawula ku-2025, okuwusuku lwaqondana lokhetho lwenhlangano elandelayo.Ngokungafani ne-Horizon South kanye ne-MLX-West, i-BMX izodinga izimboni ezintsha zokucubungula, njengoba imayini itholakala ohlangothini oluseNtshonalanga loMfula i-Athabasca.
DEBOTTLENECKING PROJECS
I-Horizon inamaphrojekthi ambalwa amancane ezincwadini, okuhlanganisa izithuthukisi zokuthembeka okuncane, indawo entsha yokwelapha i-Froth, kanye nesikhungo sokukhipha emgodini (IPEP).Nakuba okwamanje ungekho umugqa wesikhathi omisiwe wokuqedwa, amaphrojekthi amathathu anamandla okwandisa umkhiqizo cishe ngo-100,000 bbl/ngosuku.
Imayini ye-Imperial's Kearl nayo inesikhala sokukhula ngaphakathi komkhawulo wayo ogunyaziwe wokulawula.Le nkampani ithi ibheka ukukhulisa umkhiqizo ngo-10%, noma 25,000 bbl/day, ngo-2030. Esikhathini esiseduze, u-Kearl ubheke ukukhulisa ukubuyiswa kwebitumen ngokufaka umthamo we-flotation owengeziwe.
I-GREENFIELD EXPANSIONS
Kunezandiso ezintathu ezinkulu esezivele zinemvume yenhlangano ekhona.
I-Syncrude's Aurora South yavunywa njengengxenye ye-Aurora Project ngeminyaka yawo-1990.I-Aurora yavunywa ekuqaleni i-430,000 bbl/ngosuku ngezigaba ezine - ezimbili e-Aurora North, nezimbili e-Aurora South.I-Aurora North inamandla afakiwe angu-225,000 bbl/ngosuku, okushiya “indawo yokulawula” enye i-200,000 bbl/ngosuku e-Aurora South.Kodwa-ke, lokhu kuzodinga ukunwetshwa okukhulu kwesithuthukisi se-Mildred Lake, okungenzeka kungenzeki.Le nkampani ithi i-Aurora South izothuthukiswa uma i-MLX isiphelile, okulindeleke ukuthi ibe ngu-2040.
I-Albian Sands nayo inezigaba ezimbili ezingakathuthukiswa zokunwetshwa e-Jackpine.Imayini yeJackpine yagunyazwa izitimela ezimbili, kodwa kwaqedwa iSitimela 1 kuphela.Owayesebenzisa i-Shell Canada naye uthole ukugunyazwa kwesikhungo sokukhiqiza esingu-100,000 bbl/ngosuku Emayini Yokwandisa i-Jackpine, esenyakatho nje nokuqashisa okukhona kwe-Jackpine.
Nokho, zombili izimayini ezisebenzayo ze-Albian Sands zinamandla afakiwe angu-340,000 bbl/ngosuku, afana ncamashí ne-Scottford Upgrader.Ngakho noma yikuphi ukunwetshwa kwemayini kungadinga ukunwetshwa kwesithuthukisi, noma ingqalasizinda ukuze kukhiqizwe itiyela elithengiswayo.
UKUNGEZA KONKE
Amandla okukhiqiza itiyela afakiwe phakathi kwabaqhubi bezimayini yi-bbl eyizigidi ezingu-1.8/ngosuku, 200,000 bbl/ngosuku ngaphezu kokuphumayo okumaphakathi konyaka odlule.Leso yisithelo esilenga phansi, esimele indawo yokuthuthukisa esesivele sivunyiwe futhi esesikhona.
Ngokuhambisana nezinhlelo zokunweba esezivele ziyasebenza, ukukhiqizwa kwetiyela elimbiwayo cishe kuzosondela ku-1.9 million bbl/ngosuku ngo-2030.
I-Canadian Natural Resources inomunye u-200,000 bbl/ngosuku “wegumbi eliyisipele” e-Albian, elingase libone ukukhanya kosuku kakhulu phansi komgwaqo.Kodwa-ke, lokho kuzodinga kokubili amanani entengo kawoyela aqinile, kanye nokucaciswa okwengeziwe ngemithetho yekhabhoni yesikhathi esizayo.
